2024 Fantasy Baseball: Auction Hitting Plan

A fantasy manager must separate hitting from pitching when starting to gameplan for an auction. Each area is 50% of the game, but finding a blend of spending that fits your game style is necessary.

My Core Batters

When developing your hitting base, a fantasy manager needs to identify the key players to build the foundation of their offense. Your core could be three or four players, depending on how much you want to invest in each player. I look for three players to start my hitting team. I want one player to give me a high batting average with power (.300/30/100). The second player should offer some home runs, a high average, and plus stolen bases (.300/10/60/40). The last option will be a balanced player (.300/20/80/20). The rise in speed in 2023 will add more steals to the player pool while also raising the target number to finish high in the standings in the stolen base category.

Note: Each season, the talent pool in pitching changes along with injuries. When there is elite depth in pitching, fewer batters hit over .300, leading to lower targets in batting average.

Hitting Budget

You can divide your hitting budget any way you like and devise a plan to retain as many offensive points as possible. I want to build a base in all the hitting categories, and I’m willing to pay for it. I will spend $90 to $100 on three to four players. The player pool fluctuates yearly, and a fantasy manager must adjust their plan to the changing inventory. In most seasons, my starting point for spending on offense would be $180 of $260.

Eight Foundation Bats

When deciding on your key players in a single league auction, a fantasy manager must develop a plan to roster a C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, and three outfielders. These eight players will be the core of your team.

Each season, I study the offense player pool at each position. First, I determine the three core batters I want to target in the auction. The next step is deciding which positions have the most depth and weakness. Then, I’ll formulate a plan for spending at each position that gives me the best chance to fill my categories. At the same time, I identify potential values and breakout players.

Player Pool

In the American and the National Leagues, there are 15 teams in each league. There are nine available starting batters, leaving a pool of 135 starting players divided by 12 fantasy teams (11.25 potential starters per roster). Most fantasy managers will have between 10 and 12 starting hitters in their lineup. Every team will likely have three holes (part-time players). Out of those 135 starting slots in lineups, there are probably a dozen or so players who don’t play every day.

When building your roster, you can put your holes (low at-bat players) anywhere in your starting lineup. As the season progresses, the hope is to fill some of your low-productive spots from your bench or the waiver wire.

Core Spending

Depending on your budget plan, a fantasy manager will spend between $150 to $170 on your eight-core hitters. Patience is required to execute the end game. The goal is to find as many players as possible who could get full-time at-bats for short money. When filling your remaining hitting spots, you need to look for players who get the most at-bats or young players with upside. The player with the most upside in playing time might be someone other than the hitter who earns a starting job when the season starts.

Finishing the Backend of Your Roster

Most AL or NL auction league managers are afraid to take a zero in their starting hitting lineup. Sometimes, buying an upside minor league player in the auction is better than risking losing a potential impact player in the reserve rounds (bench players).

In fantasy leagues, purchasing a low-upside player with playing time risk makes little sense in the long run. Instead, I would much rather roster a player like OF Wyatt Langford in an AL-only format in 2024, hoping he gets called up early and seizes a starting job. A weak backend middle infielder with no real upside in at-bats for $1 tends to limit your team’s ceiling.

In most seasons, a player with similar part-time at-bats can be found on the waiver wire or rostered in the reserve round. Which is more important: a once-a-week player or a hitter who could get regular at-bats at some point in the season? This decision is challenging because the once-a-week player could get more at-bats if an injury increases playing time.

I look for three or four upside players to fill the backend of my roster while understanding the waiver wire will help fill some of these voids.

Get a Feel for Each Player’s Value

A fantasy manager will succeed more in auctions by developing a solid game plan before heading to the draft table. When deciding which core batters for your team, research completed auctions where fantasy managers play for real money. The flow of players will be different, but you can get a feel for public opinion.

The LABR auctions in early March give fantasy managers some insight into the player pool early in spring training. Knowing a player’s market value helps the pre-auction building process.

You should never be surprised by any player’s value at the auction or draft table. A good player is going to draw much interest. If you want a top-tier player, you should be ready to make your winning move.